Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.071418 0.082963 0.095598 0.110429 0.127337 0.145984 0.168082
2025-01-19 0.052125 0.066908 0.084573 0.107135 0.135078 0.168432 0.211133
2025-01-26 0.042685 0.059777 0.081807 0.112045 0.152193 0.203356 0.273128
2025-02-02 0.035811 0.054213 0.079581 0.116668 0.168965 0.239445 0.340836
2025-02-09 0.028293 0.046110 0.072275 0.112835 0.173284 0.259001 0.388392
2025-02-16 0.023327 0.040671 0.067645 0.111720 0.180723 0.283053 0.444157
2025-02-23 0.019083 0.035481 0.062405 0.108627 0.184373 0.301434 0.492952
2025-03-02 0.015885 0.031381 0.058155 0.106276 0.188527 0.320523 0.544145
2025-03-09 0.013859 0.028946 0.056248 0.107396 0.198182 0.348847 0.612101
2025-03-16 0.011596 0.025622 0.052220 0.104157 0.199861 0.364028 0.659685
2025-03-23 0.010710 0.024834 0.052701 0.109055 0.216211 0.405159 0.754087
2025-03-30 0.009492 0.023128 0.051146 0.109854 0.225075 0.433939 0.829428
2025-04-06 0.008060 0.020722 0.047901 0.107061 0.227147 0.451287 0.887039
2025-04-13 0.006961 0.018854 0.045485 0.105600 0.231603 0.473384 0.955252
2025-04-20 0.006566 0.018586 0.046473 0.111373 0.251080 0.525360 1.083294
2025-04-27 0.006152 0.018191 0.047113 0.116460 0.269659 0.577163 1.215143
2025-05-04 0.005243 0.016321 0.044047 0.112874 0.269560 0.592200 1.276922
2025-05-11 0.004611 0.015060 0.042231 0.111880 0.274880 0.618464 1.362851
2025-05-18 0.003964 0.013613 0.039707 0.108842 0.275269 0.634508 1.429259
2025-05-25 0.003441 0.012407 0.037603 0.106517 0.276963 0.653326 1.502692
2025-06-01 0.003126 0.011775 0.036918 0.107653 0.286824 0.690393 1.617117
2025-06-08 0.002690 0.010644 0.034669 0.104415 0.285817 0.703495 1.681156
2025-06-15 0.002575 0.010575 0.035438 0.109328 0.305313 0.763949 1.852711